It’s fucking bonkers that he’d have still won 34%. Dude’s been in charge for decades.
These 34% include those who were pressured or bribed into voting for them (like, “Show us proof that you voted for the ruling party or we’ll cut your bonus” at work).
And also, government propaganda is strong, so some elderly people who only watch TV or people from remote regions who weren’t impacted by the war as much, might be inclined to blindly believe what is said in “official” government news and support the image that the party created rather than their real policies
Pretty much any known candidate can get 30% of any election. Polling that low means public opinion is zero.
The crazy thing is that they got internationally and publicly called out on the really egregious statistical anomolies before, like those visible horizontal lines on the vote share chart showing up where boxes were stuffed just enough to meet a specific party “floor on vote share required” target. It’s not complicated to hide that. United Russia would just need to randomize said targets. But they can’t even be bothered to hide the flagrantly-visible-on-the-surface stuff.
The first time around, maybe you do a shitty job and don’t expect it to be picked up on. But by now, you know that it’s going to get identified and still just don’t care.
I could believe that a statistician could still go digging and find anomolies that are harder to hide with more-careful stuffing, but that’s not even necessary the way this is done. These are flagrant, already-explicitly-identified-in-the-past, not-hard-to-hide ones.
EDIT: The last election when I saw an article on this, I even commented and said “well, that’s the last time you’ll be able to use that method to identify ballot box stuffing, because next election, United Russia will have it fixed”. Fast forward and…nope. The level of shits given is just mind-bogglingly low.
Thats just flaunting your power play.
I mean, if you want to do that, why even bother with elections? Just call the guy a tsar or whatever and end the rigamarole. Or, hell, do the North Korean approach, where you have a non-secret ballot and only a “I vote for or against Kim Jong Un” option, where theoretically if Kim Jong Un were to lose, there would be a second election with other options to replace him on it.
A veneer of legitimate democracy.
Yeah, some countries don’t want to deal with fascists, but this makes it easier to explain. Even if everyone knows it’s a sham.
I wonder how many votes Trump would have actually had if Elon didn’t help him win.
Trump tomorrow on truth social: I just got off the phone with my dear friend PRESIDENT PUTIN and he’s agreed to help us run our elections after his landslide victory against those CROOKED UKRAINIANS who tried to steal the election just like the WOKE COMMUNISTS are trying to do here.
Also today, several statisticians fall off the same balcony.
Funny enough in the last election they only “won” by 49.82%.
I was told by a Russian that even 34% is too high of a number.
Now do the same analysis on Trump’s “win” in 2024… I’ll wait.
Trump won since most of the Democrat voters stayed home in some ‘protest’ against Harris not being perfect on Gaza, knowing full well that staying home would mean something even worse for Gaza.
Americans as a whole are cooked.
Bros going to be waiting for negative time
You can’t, dummy. The US and Russia are just different electoriums
