Profile pic is from Jason Box, depicting a projection of Arctic warming to the year 2100 based on current trends.

  • 0 Posts
  • 42 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: March 3rd, 2024

help-circle









  • How much power the federal government can wield has been a debate since the founding. The first two political parties were the Federalists and Democratic-Republicans. The optimal version is probably somewhere in between, with lots of checks and balances that can vary through situations and time. We had some of that too through history.

    It’s always hardest to see the best direction to take when in the middle of historical change, but it does seem we’ve slid a bit too far at this point to use the system that is broken to fix the system. I’m wondering not only what path we’re going to take to get to the next stage, but how the world is going to act while we do it, given how tangled the US with everything. Some might say to let it burn, ignore it, play isolationism, but that approach never worked out historically, nor did trying to step in and “fix” things.


  • That’s a reasonable definition. It also pushes things closer to what we think we can do now, since the same logic makes a slower AGI equal to a person, and a cluster of them on a single issue better than one. The G (general) is the key part that changes things, no matter the speed, and we’re not there. LLMs are general in many ways, but lack the I to spark anything from it, they just simulate it by doing exactly what your point is, being much faster at finding the best matches in a response in data training and appearing sometimes to have reasoned it out.

    ASI is a definition only in scale. We as humans can’t have any idea what an ASI would be like other than far superior than a human for whatever reasons. If it’s only speed, that’s enough. It certain could become more than just faster though, and that added with speed… naysayers better hope they are right about the impossibilities, but how can they know for sure on something we wouldn’t be able to grasp if it existed?


  • I doubt the few that are calling for a slowing or all out ban on further work on AI are trying to profit from any success they have. The funny thing is, we won’t know if we ever hit that point of even just AGI until we’re past it, and in theory AGI will quickly go to ASI simply because it’s the next step once the point is reached. So anyone saying AGI is here or almost here is just speculating, just as anyone who says it’s not near or won’t ever happen.

    The only thing possibly worse than getting to the AGI/ASI point unprepared might be not getting there, but creating tools that simulate a lot of its features and all of its dangers and ignorantly using them without any caution. Oh look , we’re there already, and doing a terrible job at being cautious, as we usually are with new tech.




  • If we had better systems in place to help everyone who needs it, this probably wouldn’t be a problem. Telling someone they need therapy isn’t helpful, it’s just acknowledging we aren’t aiding the ones who need it when they need it most.

    I’ll go further and say anyone who thinks any of these AI are really what they’re marketed as needs help, as in education of what is and isn’t possible. So that will cover all instances, not just the romantic variety.