Oh good, more bad news. I was afraid we’d run out 😑
1.2" by 2100 with no acceleration from global warming
That is 0.3mm per year. Current annual sea rise is 4.5mm.
The danger of twaites is sudden collapse/detachment, giving an immediate 2 foot rise. Mostly global sea rise from other sources is what can raise melt from glacier, and accelerate its time of detachment.
For the first time in satellite history, 2022 to 2025 was 4 consecutive sub 2.5m km2 antarctic sea ice extents, and were closer to 2m km2 , 2026 was still below 2.6m km2 . Until now, global warming has not caused visible downtrends in Antarctic sea ice. year to year variation was in a narrow range with no noticeable trend.
Twaites is a region that is subject regularly to blue water events every year. A trend for Antarctic that leads to longer and wider blue water areas on coastal lines is also a recipe for warmer water to interact with Twaites. Returning every year will accelerate the “doomsday glacier” event, in addition to exposing other regional glaciers who, previously to last 5 years, did not get consecutive blue water erosion, which meant recovery years/periods.
Talking about Twaites as though, “if things stay the same, an insignificant number may double” is not the right way to be concerned about Twaites.
I visited Iceland over the summer. In the Perlan science museum in Reykjavik they have a replica of a plaque that was installed at the site of the former glacier Okjökull. It reads, in English
A letter to the future
Ok is the first Icelandic glacier to lose its status as a glacier.
In the next 200 years all our glaciers are expected to follow the same path.
This monument is to acknowledge that we know what is happening and what needs to be done.
Only you know if we did it.Followed by the global atmospheric CO2 reading for when it was installed in August 2019, which was 415ppm
This year we reached 432ppm.
In early September I was watching my nephew play a high school football game in 107 degree heat, sitting with my very Republican brother. We’re both old enough to remember when triple-digit heat was, maybe, on or two odd days in the summer and not a weeks-long affair.
We talked about how hot it was, and I told him I think that within 10-15 years, it’s no longer going to be possible to play football in September without a covered field. What’s wild is he agrees, and I fully expect in the coming decade to see a whole wave of bond drives so high schools can build some means of field coverage.
I don’t think it’s deniable now that human-made climate change is killing the world we knew. Data centers are hastening it, but we’ve seen the travel industry collapse twice in the last 18 years and, in that time, observed precipitous drops in pollution.
We know the solution. We’re just powerless because billionaires are the polluters and billionaires control the world’s governments.
Oh, I guess I’m the only one who has seen all of the documentaries over 30+ years filmed from a helicopter with the pilot pointing out how alarmingly fast glaciers are receding as the camera person zooms in on bare rocks.
Maybe I should be a famous fucking scientist, because the loudest ones are obviously being paid to ease panic.
This was actually an interesting article about a model of glacier melt, taking into account how seawater was interacting with the rim of the glaciers to cause them to melt even faster than previously realized (which was already fast). Reframing this as ‘famous scientists’ (what famous scientist was involved with this??) downplaying global warming instead is a wild misrepresentation of everything they did.
Brian Cox (the ex boy band member/ astrophysicist) off the top of my head.
Atty represents nature and he’s been talking about it for waaaay longer than 30 years.
Even the newest episode of Simon Reeve’s newest show (which was like two weeks ago) has him commenting on the very same thing I am referencing.
I’m not downplaying anything, I’m using humour to express concern.
Concern for a doomed planet, because the loudest and richest people can’t be fucked to care for anything but themselves.
They’ll only care when their bunkers and golf resorts and yachts have all ceased to be respites for their debauchery and they can no longer move freely in ways that let them ignore it.
What’s your name? I’ll make a wikipedianpahe on you. That should make you famous.
Too late, true fame has already found me… twice separately.
Are you Elon Musk?
They’re far too well spoken to be that knobhead.
I put the Grimes in Musk like a cybertruck getting cucked by a fucking nut busted knuckle duster!
When I dream, my dreams turn into his nightmares.
I am the ghost of a ghost that makes him remember why he hates himself so much.
So … yes?
It’s only a slab of ice as big as a country and a kilometers in height. What’s the worst that can happen? /s
Well, maybe whatever happened wouldn’t be as bad if they hadn’t named it the Doomsday Glacier…
It’s actually named Thwaites glacier, but journalist like to call it Doomsday glacier because it if melts it’ll raise sea level with 65 centimeter (25 inch) meaning you can say goodbye to a number of coastal cities.
I understood you were joking
Or…
No God promised he’d never flood the earth again… Next time it’s fire.
The fire is already started, the flood will take some time, ice doesn’t melt overnight.
Next time though…
It would appear that this time, if God or Gods exist; they or them have chosen for us to suffer our own consequences.
Nah, the next reset is a meteorite, and then the era of the cockroach-men will begin!
Crab people, crab people
Look like crab, work at mobile stores like people!
Rumoured to be delicious!
And crabs don’t have pesky taboos about cannibalism.
Meteorite already happened
I’ve seen enough remakes to last an entire cycle. Let’s see something new…
Off the top of my head… Ummm… Words become food until the power goes out, and then food becomes food. The food runs out of food, and eventually nothing is food anymore, because the foods that are foods are no longer food. Because it’s just rocks now. But not meteorite rocks, just boring rocks. Maybe not boring rocks to a scientist, but who cares because they are dead too.
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Down voting won’t make it go away.
Doing nothing will.
I chose to move to a place around 1,100ft above sea level for a good reason.
You’ll own prime beach front property in no time.
