Yeah, an experienced devops can turn a max claude code subscription into a credible position or two. You give it a directory full of indexed md’s and access to your playbooks and it’s really good at understanding your logs and using saveguarded tools you write for it.
But those data-centers full of the most advanced purposed built machines are expensive AF, and the tech is moving so fast, those boxes from 2 years ago are already too inadequate.
When the seed capital is gone and the ventures all want their payday, the banks aren’t going to foot the bill.
AI is here to stay, but the cutting edge will continue become more exponentially more expensive while still only being incrementally better than humans. Sans some amazing breakthrough, it’ll price itself out the the market.
It’s not better by default, at least for now. It’s better at writing than most of the US’s 5th grade adult reading comprehension levels. It’s better at logo design than your average coder. It’s not better than a trained craft person, but it’s often faster. You do have to be really careful to either give it tools that can’t fuck things up, or super carefull in reading what it’s asking you if it can do.
If you give Claude code a manual, it’s shockingly adept at following instructions at speed. Take this license file from my email and update my perforce server. Use my Ansible in /projects/Ansible to connect to it.
Can I read that file?
Can I read that Ansible inventory?
Can I run this Ansible command to find the install folder?
Can I run this Ansible command to copy the file?
Can I run this Ansible command to backup the existing file?
Can I run this Ansible command to install the license?
Can I run this Ansible command to verify the install worked?
Done.
It’s not hard, but it’s only once a year, and hell if I remember the ins and outs of 1:10000 tasks
my only question is how many years of this shit will we need to survive until they realize: there’s no such thing as a free lunch? yeah, you can get agentic systems working with accuracy and precision, but will it ever be a panacea to dev costs that justify the trillions - TRILLIONS - of dollars invested for the paltry billions of profit?
how many years of this shit will we need to survive
That’s largely dependent on the “trillionaires” negotiation with the banks. Some of the data centers are already having trouble getting funded.
FWIW, if you REALLY want this shit to stop, push legislation to tax the fuck out of the data centers. They’re only building them because of the huge return on investment, tax them in real time on what that return looks like. I think a state and federal tax rate above 40% would greatly slow down this bullshit and get some stuff paid for that we actually need. No hiding behind ‘losses’. That Equipment gets taxed locally at market value and the warehouse+water+electric hookups are taxed at such rates that the utilities can expand what is necessary without fucking over the residents.
Yeah, an experienced devops can turn a max claude code subscription into a credible position or two. You give it a directory full of indexed md’s and access to your playbooks and it’s really good at understanding your logs and using saveguarded tools you write for it.
But those data-centers full of the most advanced purposed built machines are expensive AF, and the tech is moving so fast, those boxes from 2 years ago are already too inadequate.
When the seed capital is gone and the ventures all want their payday, the banks aren’t going to foot the bill.
AI is here to stay, but the cutting edge will continue become more exponentially more expensive while still only being incrementally better than humans. Sans some amazing breakthrough, it’ll price itself out the the market.
That’s only true in some extremely rare use cases.
It’s not better by default, at least for now. It’s better at writing than most of the US’s 5th grade adult reading comprehension levels. It’s better at logo design than your average coder. It’s not better than a trained craft person, but it’s often faster. You do have to be really careful to either give it tools that can’t fuck things up, or super carefull in reading what it’s asking you if it can do.
If you give Claude code a manual, it’s shockingly adept at following instructions at speed. Take this license file from my email and update my perforce server. Use my Ansible in /projects/Ansible to connect to it.
Can I read that file?
Can I read that Ansible inventory?
Can I run this Ansible command to find the install folder?
Can I run this Ansible command to copy the file?
Can I run this Ansible command to backup the existing file?
Can I run this Ansible command to install the license?
Can I run this Ansible command to verify the install worked?
Done.
It’s not hard, but it’s only once a year, and hell if I remember the ins and outs of 1:10000 tasks
well put.
my only question is how many years of this shit will we need to survive until they realize: there’s no such thing as a free lunch? yeah, you can get agentic systems working with accuracy and precision, but will it ever be a panacea to dev costs that justify the trillions - TRILLIONS - of dollars invested for the paltry billions of profit?
That’s largely dependent on the “trillionaires” negotiation with the banks. Some of the data centers are already having trouble getting funded.
FWIW, if you REALLY want this shit to stop, push legislation to tax the fuck out of the data centers. They’re only building them because of the huge return on investment, tax them in real time on what that return looks like. I think a state and federal tax rate above 40% would greatly slow down this bullshit and get some stuff paid for that we actually need. No hiding behind ‘losses’. That Equipment gets taxed locally at market value and the warehouse+water+electric hookups are taxed at such rates that the utilities can expand what is necessary without fucking over the residents.
fuckin’a